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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.92+10.20vs Predicted
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2Washington College4.25+7.76vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+4.48vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College4.15+6.23vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+3.72vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin4.10+4.56vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.74+5.38vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.00+9.66vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.85-1.93vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.87+5.52vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University5.19-5.05vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont4.60-3.55vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.64-0.18vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.33-4.62vs Predicted
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15Harvard University4.52-6.33vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston4.76-8.41vs Predicted
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17Brown University4.28-7.54vs Predicted
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18University of Miami3.99-6.98vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy4.34-9.62vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University2.47-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.2Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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9.76Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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7.48St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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10.23SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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8.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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12.38University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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17.66Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.07Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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15.52University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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5.95Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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12.82Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.67Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.59College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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9.46Brown University4.280.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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16.71Old Dominion University2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Blouin | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Blouin | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Britton Steele | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 19.1% | 45.1% |
| Thomas Barrows | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 15.9% | 20.6% | 14.2% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Peter Stemler | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Tomas Hornos | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Juan Maegli | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jeff Knowles | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Robert Vann | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Shockey | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 23.5% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.