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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+3.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+5.84vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+4.27vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.31+1.11vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+3.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.56+5.30vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.68+0.27vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.13+6.22vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.36-4.10vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.53-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-0.12-1.02vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74+0.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.86-6.41vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University0.14-5.22vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.60-0.08vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.40-4.97vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.00-3.92vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16University of Southern California1.7117.4%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.826.0%1st Place
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7.27California Poly Maritime Academy0.536.5%1st Place
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5.11University of Hawaii1.3112.7%1st Place
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8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.9%1st Place
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11.3University of California at Berkeley-0.562.5%1st Place
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7.27Northwestern University0.687.5%1st Place
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14.22University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.3614.1%1st Place
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8.53San Diego State University0.534.5%1st Place
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9.98University of Southern California-0.122.6%1st Place
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12.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.741.8%1st Place
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6.59University of California at Berkeley0.868.7%1st Place
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8.78Texas A&M University0.145.4%1st Place
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14.92Arizona State University-1.600.5%1st Place
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11.03Arizona State University-0.401.9%1st Place
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13.08University of California at Davis-1.001.4%1st Place
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15.3University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 17.4% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Jennings | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 19.0% |
| Michael Fineman | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lara Granucci | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Annika Burns | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Carsten Zieger | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Broberg | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Erin Welker | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 20.4% | 25.9% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Jason Yang | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 8.2% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.