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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Maximilian Kuester 46.4% 25.8% 14.2% 9.2% 2.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Mastrandrea 10.2% 18.0% 17.2% 18.7% 16.1% 11.9% 6.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 10.8% 14.6% 15.5% 16.8% 15.9% 16.3% 8.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 14.2% 17.1% 18.8% 17.8% 14.4% 10.5% 6.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 5.3% 8.0% 10.5% 13.8% 14.4% 17.1% 22.3% 7.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 14.2% 17.1% 18.8% 17.8% 14.4% 10.5% 6.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elisabeth Kuester 4.4% 5.5% 8.8% 7.6% 13.5% 19.9% 28.2% 11.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Michael Molman 1.0% 0.8% 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 4.1% 10.6% 58.4% 18.1% 0.0%
Kristian Sonsteby 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 2.1% 15.1% 79.3% 0.0%
Paul Hart 7.5% 9.6% 12.9% 13.1% 19.3% 17.9% 14.9% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.