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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+1.01vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.85+1.81vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+1.03vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.79-0.38vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.09vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.79-2.38vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.69-1.46vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.93-0.39vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-2.41-0.37vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.26-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Hampton University3.020.5%1st Place
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3.81George Washington University1.850.1%1st Place
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4.03Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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3.62Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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5.09SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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3.62Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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5.54Hampton University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.61Rutgers University-0.930.0%1st Place
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8.63Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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4.65Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 46.4% | 25.8% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 10.2% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 10.8% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 8.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 14.2% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 7.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 14.2% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Kuester | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 28.2% | 11.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Molman | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 10.6% | 58.4% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 15.1% | 79.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.