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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+1.04vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.26+2.82vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.69+2.58vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.85-0.47vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.79-1.35vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.79-2.35vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.65-3.08vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.75vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.93-1.44vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-2.41-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Hampton University3.020.4%1st Place
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4.82Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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5.58Hampton University0.690.0%1st Place
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3.53George Washington University1.850.1%1st Place
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3.65Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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3.65Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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3.92Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.25SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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7.56Rutgers University-0.930.0%1st Place
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8.65Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 44.4% | 27.4% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 5.2% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 5.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Kuester | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 29.5% | 10.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 14.8% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 14.2% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 14.2% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 11.1% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 20.5% | 21.8% | 8.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Molman | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 11.2% | 57.9% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 13.4% | 80.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.