← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Maximilian Kuester 44.4% 27.4% 14.6% 8.6% 3.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Hart 5.2% 7.6% 13.5% 15.8% 16.9% 19.9% 15.1% 5.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Elisabeth Kuester 3.8% 5.2% 7.6% 10.2% 14.1% 17.6% 29.5% 10.5% 1.5% 0.0%
John Mastrandrea 14.8% 18.5% 19.0% 17.5% 13.6% 10.6% 5.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 14.2% 19.3% 17.5% 15.3% 13.8% 11.3% 7.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 14.2% 19.3% 17.5% 15.3% 13.8% 11.3% 7.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 11.1% 14.2% 17.1% 19.2% 16.5% 13.3% 6.8% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 5.3% 6.3% 8.8% 10.8% 17.0% 20.5% 21.8% 8.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Michael Molman 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 2.2% 3.6% 4.7% 11.2% 57.9% 16.9% 0.0%
Kristian Sonsteby 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 2.6% 13.4% 80.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.