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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.65+3.00vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.79+1.91vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02-0.98vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.79-0.09vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.69+0.45vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.26-1.41vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.75vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.88-4.40vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.93-1.45vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-2.41-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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3.91Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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2.02Hampton University3.020.5%1st Place
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3.91Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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5.45Hampton University0.690.0%1st Place
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4.59Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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5.25SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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3.6George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.55Rutgers University-0.930.0%1st Place
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8.64Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 11.5% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 10.4% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 46.0% | 25.4% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 10.4% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Kuester | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 28.5% | 9.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 7.3% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 5.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 23.0% | 8.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mandell | 14.0% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Molman | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 11.0% | 57.6% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 13.2% | 80.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.