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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+0.99vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.88+1.77vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.79+0.78vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.26+0.56vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.65-1.09vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.79-2.22vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.93+0.58vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.41+0.68vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.90-3.80vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.69-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Hampton University3.020.5%1st Place
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3.77George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.78Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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4.56Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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3.91Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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3.78Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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7.58Rutgers University-0.930.0%1st Place
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8.68Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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5.2SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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5.53Hampton University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 46.4% | 26.1% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mandell | 10.0% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 12.5% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 12.4% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 12.5% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Molman | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 58.9% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 11.8% | 81.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 19.2% | 22.0% | 9.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Kuester | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 27.2% | 11.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.