← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Maximilian Kuester 46.4% 26.1% 15.2% 8.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Mandell 10.0% 16.1% 21.8% 18.4% 15.2% 11.1% 5.8% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 12.5% 16.3% 16.9% 17.9% 16.2% 12.8% 6.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Paul Hart 7.4% 10.5% 12.2% 16.5% 17.5% 17.9% 13.9% 3.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 12.4% 16.9% 16.0% 16.1% 13.8% 12.7% 9.6% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 12.5% 16.3% 16.9% 17.9% 16.2% 12.8% 6.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Molman 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 2.7% 3.3% 5.0% 10.6% 58.9% 16.6% 0.0%
Kristian Sonsteby 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 1.3% 3.9% 11.8% 81.5% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 5.5% 7.2% 8.8% 11.5% 16.1% 19.2% 22.0% 9.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Elisabeth Kuester 4.9% 5.7% 7.6% 8.4% 14.4% 19.0% 27.2% 11.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.