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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.79+2.80vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+0.12vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+1.03vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.69+1.48vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.11vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.26-1.37vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.79-3.20vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.88-4.39vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.93-1.44vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-2.41-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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2.12Hampton University3.020.4%1st Place
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4.03Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.48Hampton University0.690.0%1st Place
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5.11SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.63Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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3.8Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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3.61George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.56Rutgers University-0.930.0%1st Place
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8.65Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Bay | 13.2% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 40.7% | 29.6% | 15.9% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 11.5% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Kuester | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 29.1% | 9.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 21.5% | 8.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 4.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 13.2% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mandell | 14.9% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Molman | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 59.1% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 13.5% | 80.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.