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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bryan Bay 13.2% 17.1% 15.6% 16.6% 16.3% 12.7% 6.6% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 40.7% 29.6% 15.9% 7.5% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 11.5% 13.9% 16.1% 17.0% 15.1% 14.2% 10.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Elisabeth Kuester 4.5% 5.6% 7.9% 10.9% 13.5% 17.6% 29.1% 9.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 5.1% 8.1% 10.9% 13.1% 14.1% 17.3% 21.5% 8.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Paul Hart 8.5% 8.7% 11.5% 15.5% 17.8% 18.9% 14.4% 4.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 13.2% 17.1% 15.6% 16.6% 16.3% 12.7% 6.6% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Mandell 14.9% 15.8% 19.9% 16.3% 16.0% 10.9% 5.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Molman 1.4% 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 2.6% 5.5% 9.3% 59.1% 17.2% 0.0%
Kristian Sonsteby 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 2.6% 13.5% 80.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.