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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+1.04vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+2.15vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.69+2.59vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.79-0.36vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.79-1.36vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.88-2.48vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.80vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.26-3.36vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.93-1.44vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-2.41-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Hampton University3.020.5%1st Place
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4.15Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.59Hampton University0.690.0%1st Place
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3.64Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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3.64Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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3.52George Washington University1.880.2%1st Place
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5.2SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.64Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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7.56Rutgers University-0.930.0%1st Place
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8.66Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 45.3% | 25.5% | 15.8% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 8.0% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Kuester | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 28.5% | 11.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 13.8% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 13.8% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mandell | 15.4% | 21.0% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 23.8% | 21.0% | 8.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 7.8% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Molman | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 58.9% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 3.0% | 13.0% | 80.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.