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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.79+2.75vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.88+1.77vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+0.97vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02-2.03vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.08vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.79-2.25vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.69-1.45vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.41+0.70vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.26-4.33vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-0.93-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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3.77George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.97Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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1.97Hampton University3.020.5%1st Place
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5.08SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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3.75Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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5.55Hampton University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.7Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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4.67Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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7.54Rutgers University-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Bay | 13.3% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mandell | 11.7% | 15.0% | 21.8% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 11.8% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 45.6% | 29.1% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 8.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 13.3% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Kuester | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 29.7% | 10.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 3.1% | 12.1% | 82.4% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 7.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 14.9% | 4.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Molman | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 60.1% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.