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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bryan Bay 13.3% 15.3% 17.9% 18.2% 16.1% 11.2% 7.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Mandell 11.7% 15.0% 21.8% 18.0% 13.1% 12.2% 6.4% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 11.8% 13.8% 16.4% 16.2% 18.6% 13.1% 8.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 45.6% 29.1% 13.9% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 4.8% 8.7% 10.3% 13.7% 15.5% 17.2% 20.1% 8.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 13.3% 15.3% 17.9% 18.2% 16.1% 11.2% 7.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elisabeth Kuester 4.1% 5.7% 7.6% 9.3% 12.8% 19.9% 29.7% 10.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Kristian Sonsteby 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 3.1% 12.1% 82.4% 0.0%
Paul Hart 7.6% 11.1% 10.0% 14.7% 16.9% 19.6% 14.9% 4.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Molman 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 2.5% 3.3% 5.0% 9.9% 60.1% 15.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.