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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.88+3.92vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.63+3.75vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13-0.70vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.25+3.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-2.15+12.15vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University0.20+1.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38+2.43vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.19+5.35vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.51+0.92vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.24+3.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-3.24vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-0.89-0.21vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.90-1.43vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-2.59vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.91-2.98vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-0.40vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.53-3.05vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.35-0.27vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-1.53-4.72vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.84-4.14vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay-1.85-4.98vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.58-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92California Poly Maritime Academy0.8813.2%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.6310.0%1st Place
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2.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1338.7%1st Place
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7.01University of California at Santa Barbara0.256.3%1st Place
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17.15University of California at Davis-2.150.5%1st Place
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7.15Santa Clara University0.205.4%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Santa Cruz-0.383.2%1st Place
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13.35San Diego State University-1.191.1%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Berkeley-0.512.6%1st Place
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13.37San Diego State University-1.241.4%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Santa Cruz0.244.5%1st Place
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11.79California Poly Maritime Academy-0.891.7%1st Place
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11.57University of California at San Diego-0.901.4%1st Place
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11.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.862.4%1st Place
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12.02San Diego State University-0.912.1%1st Place
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15.6California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.5%1st Place
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13.95Arizona State University-1.531.4%1st Place
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17.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.350.4%1st Place
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14.28University of California at Berkeley-1.531.1%1st Place
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15.86University of California at Los Angeles-1.840.6%1st Place
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16.02California State University Monterey Bay-1.850.8%1st Place
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14.65University of California at Davis-1.580.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Cuyler | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 38.7% | 26.9% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JT Long | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 21.4% |
| Eoghan Kelley | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brily Petersen | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Hongzhen Chen | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lightstone | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Emma Kalway | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Annika Altman | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Brooke Hopwood | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 27.7% |
| Dante Drolet | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| Liam Marney | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% |
| Luke Melvin | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.