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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.08+2.65vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.21-0.51vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.06+2.33vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.06+1.33vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.15-1.48vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.80-2.03vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.97vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.61-0.82vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.64-1.84vs Predicted
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10Hampton University-3.56-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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1.49George Washington University3.210.7%1st Place
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5.33Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.33Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.52Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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3.97Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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4.03SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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7.18Penn State University-1.610.0%1st Place
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7.16Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
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8.67Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stevanovic | 8.7% | 18.7% | 21.6% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marshall McCraw | 65.5% | 23.5% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 31.8% | 19.2% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 31.8% | 19.2% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 9.7% | 19.7% | 21.7% | 21.4% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 6.2% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.7% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 23.1% | 14.0% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Destremau | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 9.4% | 30.6% | 42.5% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 30.9% | 39.6% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 4.3% | 10.9% | 81.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.