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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.21+0.44vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.06+3.41vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.08+0.70vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.06+1.41vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.80-1.03vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.15-2.53vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.95vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.64-0.81vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-1.61-1.89vs Predicted
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10Hampton University-3.56-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44George Washington University3.210.7%1st Place
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5.41Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.7Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.41Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.97Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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3.47Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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4.05SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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7.19Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.11Penn State University-1.610.0%1st Place
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8.66Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall McCraw | 67.6% | 23.5% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 32.4% | 19.2% | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 7.2% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 11.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 32.4% | 19.2% | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 6.1% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 13.9% | 4.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 9.2% | 23.2% | 22.7% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.3% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 30.0% | 43.4% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Destremau | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 9.1% | 31.8% | 38.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 81.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.