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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marshall McCraw 67.6% 23.5% 6.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.1% 4.3% 7.2% 12.3% 16.4% 32.4% 19.2% 5.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 7.2% 17.4% 22.4% 21.7% 17.5% 11.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.1% 4.3% 7.2% 12.3% 16.4% 32.4% 19.2% 5.8% 0.3% 0.0%
William Sunkler 6.1% 15.7% 18.2% 20.0% 21.1% 13.9% 4.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Brady 9.2% 23.2% 22.7% 16.8% 16.2% 9.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
James Gilmore III 6.3% 13.5% 18.6% 20.5% 20.1% 14.4% 5.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Rathburn 0.6% 0.8% 2.0% 3.3% 3.6% 8.0% 30.0% 43.4% 8.3% 0.0%
Oliver Destremau 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 3.1% 3.7% 9.1% 31.8% 38.5% 9.5% 0.0%
Khari Parrish 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 1.1% 1.7% 4.6% 10.0% 81.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.