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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.08+2.65vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.06+3.42vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.21-1.57vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.80-0.04vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.00vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06-0.58vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.15-3.44vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.64-0.79vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-1.61-1.89vs Predicted
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10Hampton University-3.56-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.42Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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1.43George Washington University3.210.7%1st Place
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3.96Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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4.0SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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5.42Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.56Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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7.21Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.11Penn State University-1.610.0%1st Place
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8.66Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stevanovic | 8.3% | 19.0% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 18.3% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.0% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 33.5% | 18.8% | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marshall McCraw | 67.6% | 24.3% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 7.1% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 14.3% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.3% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.0% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 33.5% | 18.8% | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 7.6% | 21.2% | 23.7% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 8.5% | 30.3% | 43.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Destremau | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 31.5% | 38.4% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 81.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.