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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marshall McCraw 67.2% 23.9% 6.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.0% 4.0% 7.6% 13.3% 15.4% 32.7% 18.8% 5.9% 0.3% 0.0%
James Gilmore III 5.2% 13.5% 17.5% 20.4% 21.2% 15.9% 5.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 8.4% 19.4% 22.9% 19.3% 18.6% 8.7% 2.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.0% 4.0% 7.6% 13.3% 15.4% 32.7% 18.8% 5.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Brady 9.4% 22.6% 24.1% 15.8% 16.0% 9.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
William Sunkler 6.3% 14.2% 17.5% 21.6% 20.3% 14.2% 5.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Oliver Destremau 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 4.0% 3.7% 8.1% 31.8% 41.6% 7.8% 0.0%
Emily Rathburn 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 3.8% 3.3% 9.2% 30.3% 39.7% 10.0% 0.0%
Khari Parrish 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 1.1% 1.5% 4.3% 10.4% 81.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.