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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.21+0.44vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.06+3.41vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.13vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.08-0.43vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.06+0.41vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.15-2.54vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.80-2.98vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.61-0.84vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.64-1.85vs Predicted
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10Hampton University-3.56-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44George Washington University3.210.7%1st Place
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5.41Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.13SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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3.57Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.41Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.46Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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4.02Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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7.16Penn State University-1.610.0%1st Place
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7.15Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
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8.66Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall McCraw | 67.2% | 23.9% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.0% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 32.7% | 18.8% | 5.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 5.2% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 20.4% | 21.2% | 15.9% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 8.4% | 19.4% | 22.9% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.0% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 32.7% | 18.8% | 5.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 9.4% | 22.6% | 24.1% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 6.3% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 21.6% | 20.3% | 14.2% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Destremau | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 31.8% | 41.6% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 9.2% | 30.3% | 39.7% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 10.4% | 81.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.