← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+6.16vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.71+2.25vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.36+1.94vs Predicted
-
4San Diego State University0.53+4.67vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University0.68+2.33vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+1.63vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.86-0.44vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii1.31-3.03vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-0.32vs Predicted
-
10University of Southern California-0.12+0.01vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-1.00+1.93vs Predicted
-
12Texas A&M University0.14-3.27vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.15vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-0.40-2.87vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-2.91vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-0.47vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Berkeley-0.56-5.75vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University-1.60-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.16California Poly Maritime Academy0.537.1%1st Place
-
4.25University of Southern California1.7117.3%1st Place
-
4.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.3614.0%1st Place
-
8.67San Diego State University0.535.1%1st Place
-
7.33Northwestern University0.685.8%1st Place
-
7.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.7%1st Place
-
6.56University of California at Berkeley0.867.8%1st Place
-
4.97University of Hawaii1.3114.2%1st Place
-
8.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.8%1st Place
-
10.01University of Southern California-0.123.5%1st Place
-
12.93University of California at Davis-1.001.6%1st Place
-
8.73Texas A&M University0.145.0%1st Place
-
14.15University of California at San Diego-1.131.0%1st Place
-
11.13Arizona State University-0.402.1%1st Place
-
12.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.741.8%1st Place
-
15.53University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.5%1st Place
-
11.25University of California at Berkeley-0.562.2%1st Place
-
14.99Arizona State University-1.600.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Jennings | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 17.3% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Fineman | 14.0% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 14.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lara Granucci | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Jason Yang | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 8.1% |
| Cole Broberg | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 17.3% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Annika Burns | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 3.9% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 37.2% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Erin Welker | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.