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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.77+6.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+3.39vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.36+8.42vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60+1.36vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.50+0.72vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.27-2.28vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.87-2.33vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University0.80+2.43vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06-4.85vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-3.76vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester1.17-1.65vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy0.90-1.64vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester1.17-3.65vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College0.20-1.97vs Predicted
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15Colgate University-0.36-2.02vs Predicted
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16Colgate University-0.36-3.02vs Predicted
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18Drexel University0.72-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Queen's University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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11.42Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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5.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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5.72Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.72Cornell University3.270.2%1st Place
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4.67Columbia University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.43Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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4.15SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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6.24Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rochester1.170.0%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Military Academy0.900.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Rochester1.170.0%1st Place
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12.03Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
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12.98Colgate University-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.98Colgate University-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.61Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Handel | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 11.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 19.4% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Hannon | 14.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 15.6% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blair Davis | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lovo | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 21.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Feldman | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 18.2% | 41.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Feldman | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 18.2% | 41.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.