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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.730.00vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.86-0.07vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.15-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69+0.81vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.53-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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2.0University of South Florida2.730.4%1st Place
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2.93Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
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3.71Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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5.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.37Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Dahl | 32.0% | 32.7% | 23.6% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 41.9% | 28.9% | 18.7% | 8.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Paula Resto | 15.5% | 20.5% | 29.7% | 24.7% | 9.0% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Salomon | 6.9% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 34.3% | 27.1% | 2.6% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 6.7% | 88.9% |
| Jenn Casey | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 21.9% | 52.0% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.