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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+1.06vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.60+0.15vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.15+0.69vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.86-1.08vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69+0.81vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.53-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of South Florida2.730.4%1st Place
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2.15College of Charleston2.600.4%1st Place
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3.69Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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2.92Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
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5.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.38Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 36.5% | 33.6% | 19.6% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 35.7% | 30.0% | 20.9% | 10.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 8.4% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 33.2% | 27.1% | 2.9% |
| Paula Resto | 15.5% | 19.9% | 31.8% | 22.9% | 9.5% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 6.9% | 88.7% |
| Jenn Casey | 3.6% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 22.4% | 52.1% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.