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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+1.06vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.86+0.91vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60-0.85vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.15-0.31vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.53-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of South Florida2.730.4%1st Place
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2.91Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
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2.15College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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3.69Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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4.38Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 36.8% | 33.9% | 17.8% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Paula Resto | 17.2% | 19.5% | 28.9% | 24.8% | 9.1% | 0.5% |
| Mary Dahl | 34.0% | 31.2% | 23.3% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 8.2% | 9.0% | 20.3% | 32.6% | 28.1% | 1.8% |
| Jenn Casey | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 22.0% | 50.7% | 9.1% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 8.3% | 88.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.