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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+1.08vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.15+1.68vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60-0.86vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.86-1.09vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.53-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08University of South Florida2.730.4%1st Place
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3.68Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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2.14College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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2.91Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
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4.39Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 37.3% | 32.3% | 18.5% | 9.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Salomon | 7.2% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 33.1% | 27.2% | 2.3% |
| Mary Dahl | 34.6% | 31.0% | 22.9% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Paula Resto | 17.3% | 17.9% | 30.7% | 25.2% | 8.5% | 0.4% |
| Jenn Casey | 3.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 20.1% | 52.5% | 8.7% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 7.8% | 88.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.