← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.60+1.20vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.86+0.91vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida2.73-0.98vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.15-0.31vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University0.53-0.62vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.2College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
-
2.91Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
-
2.02University of South Florida2.730.4%1st Place
-
3.69Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.38Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
-
5.82University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Dahl | 31.7% | 33.2% | 21.5% | 11.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Paula Resto | 16.9% | 20.4% | 28.2% | 24.7% | 9.3% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 39.3% | 30.9% | 20.5% | 7.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 8.0% | 9.6% | 19.9% | 32.5% | 28.2% | 1.8% |
| Jenn Casey | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 22.2% | 50.6% | 9.0% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 8.2% | 88.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.