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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.96+6.25vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+3.99vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+5.61vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+1.03vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.60+3.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-1.89vs Predicted
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7Santa Barbara City College2.29-0.91vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.72+0.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.11+5.54vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.53-1.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.06-0.32vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.15+2.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.53-4.39vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.16vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University0.21-1.40vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.39-2.90vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.29-1.71vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles1.43-8.95vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-4.11vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands0.15-5.64vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands0.15-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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8.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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5.03California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.84Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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6.09Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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14.54University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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10.68University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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14.36California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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8.61University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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13.6Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.1University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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15.29San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.05University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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14.89University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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14.36California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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14.36California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Yakutis | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 20.7% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Newt Cutcliffe | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 25.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.