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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University2.04+6.12vs Predicted
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2Santa Barbara City College2.29+4.30vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.31vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+4.82vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.15+9.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.06+4.78vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.95+3.57vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-3.83vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.53-1.00vs Predicted
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11Stanford University1.60-2.19vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.39+0.26vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.96-6.42vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.52-2.27vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-0.64vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California1.72-8.71vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.11-2.92vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-0.29-3.74vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands0.15-5.43vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands0.15-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Santa Clara University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.3Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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8.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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14.57California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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11.57University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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5.17California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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8.81Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.79University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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13.26University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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15.36University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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15.08University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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15.26San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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14.57California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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14.57California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Kirby | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 19.3% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 14.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 24.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Newt Cutcliffe | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 23.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.