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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.63+4.69vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13+0.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.25+4.06vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.88+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38+4.47vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+1.83vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.24+6.29vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.91+3.88vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.19+4.09vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University0.20-2.96vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86+0.64vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-1.83+3.65vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-0.89-1.15vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.51-3.74vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.15+1.80vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.53-2.01vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-1.85-1.01vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.90-6.41vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.35-1.28vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley-1.53-5.72vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.84-5.19vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.58-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.639.5%1st Place
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2.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1339.1%1st Place
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7.06University of California at Santa Barbara0.256.1%1st Place
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4.85California Poly Maritime Academy0.8811.7%1st Place
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9.47University of California at Santa Cruz-0.383.4%1st Place
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7.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.245.7%1st Place
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13.29San Diego State University-1.241.3%1st Place
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11.88San Diego State University-0.911.3%1st Place
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13.09San Diego State University-1.191.2%1st Place
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7.04Santa Clara University0.206.2%1st Place
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11.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.862.0%1st Place
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15.65California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.6%1st Place
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11.85California Poly Maritime Academy-0.892.2%1st Place
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10.26University of California at Berkeley-0.512.4%1st Place
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16.8University of California at Davis-2.151.0%1st Place
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13.99Arizona State University-1.531.2%1st Place
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15.99California State University Monterey Bay-1.850.5%1st Place
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11.59University of California at San Diego-0.901.8%1st Place
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17.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.350.3%1st Place
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14.28University of California at Berkeley-1.531.1%1st Place
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15.81University of California at Los Angeles-1.840.7%1st Place
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14.86University of California at Davis-1.580.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Sharp | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 39.1% | 26.2% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JT Long | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brily Petersen | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Eoghan Kelley | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Annika Altman | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% |
| Charlie Lightstone | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Hongzhen Chen | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Conti | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 18.8% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Liam Marney | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% |
| Emma Kalway | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Hopwood | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 27.4% |
| Dante Drolet | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% |
| Luke Melvin | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.