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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.87+3.60vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.77+5.55vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+2.44vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.36+7.48vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.68vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.50-0.37vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.32-0.89vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60-2.64vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.27-5.32vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester1.17-0.53vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.90-0.89vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University0.80-1.30vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester1.17-3.53vs Predicted
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14Colgate University-0.36-0.86vs Predicted
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15Colgate University-0.36-1.86vs Predicted
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17Ocean County College0.20-5.17vs Predicted
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18Drexel University0.72-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Columbia University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.55Queen's University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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11.48Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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4.32SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.63Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.11Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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3.68Cornell University3.270.2%1st Place
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9.47University of Rochester1.170.0%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Military Academy0.900.0%1st Place
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10.7Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Rochester1.170.0%1st Place
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13.14Colgate University-0.360.0%1st Place
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13.14Colgate University-0.360.0%1st Place
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11.83Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
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10.58Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Hannon | 14.5% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Handel | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blair Davis | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 19.9% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lovo | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Feldman | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 45.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Feldman | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 45.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.