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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Barbara City College2.29+5.27vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.53+7.08vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+2.17vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96+3.29vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.15+9.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-1.85vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.52+5.01vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.60-0.46vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.95+1.20vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.33-4.96vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.39+1.70vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California1.18-2.80vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University2.04-6.92vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.11-0.25vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine1.06-5.28vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.29-1.60vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles1.43-8.75vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-3.99vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands0.15-5.59vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands0.15-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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5.17California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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14.41California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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4.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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8.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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13.01University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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8.54Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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13.7University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Southern California1.180.0%1st Place
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7.08Santa Clara University2.040.1%1st Place
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14.75University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.72University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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15.4San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.25University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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15.01University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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14.41California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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14.41California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Barton | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 20.7% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Kirby | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Newt Cutcliffe | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 26.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.