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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Barbara City College2.29+5.27vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University2.04+5.25vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+2.30vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33+2.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.65vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.96+1.48vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.15+7.26vs Predicted
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8Stanford University1.60+1.05vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-0.34vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.72-1.75vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.06-0.01vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.95-0.31vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.52-0.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.53-4.77vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.39-1.75vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.43-6.60vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.74vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.29-2.50vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.11-3.94vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-4.85vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands0.15-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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7.25Santa Clara University2.040.1%1st Place
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5.3California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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7.48University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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14.26California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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9.05Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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10.99University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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12.75University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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9.23University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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13.25University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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9.4University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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14.26California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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15.5San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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15.06University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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15.15University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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14.26California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Barton | 8.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Kirby | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 16.7% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Newt Cutcliffe | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 27.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 22.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.