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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+4.68vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.10+2.57vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.51+3.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.61+5.90vs Predicted
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5Santa Barbara City College-0.33+8.81vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.44+0.60vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.02+1.20vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.83-0.21vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.08+1.82vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.28+0.16vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.96+3.86vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-0.65+1.37vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.80-4.88vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.62-0.75vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.96-0.14vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.53-10.83vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.92-9.49vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.04-6.65vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-0.46-6.37vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-0.96-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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4.57Stanford University2.100.2%1st Place
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6.45California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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13.81Santa Barbara City College-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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8.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.1%1st Place
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11.82University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Southern California0.280.0%1st Place
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15.86California State University Channel Islands-0.960.0%1st Place
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14.37Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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9.12University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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14.25University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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15.86California State University Channel Islands-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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8.51University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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12.35University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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13.63San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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15.86California State University Channel Islands-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 9.6% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Obel | 17.5% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Madigan | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 10.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Guynn | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 30.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Guynn | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 30.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Guynn | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 30.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.