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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.31+4.00vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.71+2.25vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.68+4.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.36+0.88vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+2.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+1.87vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.40+3.88vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74+4.17vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-0.34vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.13+4.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.86-4.57vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University0.53-3.46vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University0.14-4.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.00-1.11vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.56-3.70vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California-0.12-5.90vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-1.58vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.60-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0University of Hawaii1.3114.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Southern California1.7117.8%1st Place
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7.3Northwestern University0.686.3%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.3613.9%1st Place
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7.14California Poly Maritime Academy0.537.6%1st Place
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7.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.826.2%1st Place
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10.88Arizona State University-0.402.6%1st Place
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12.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.741.9%1st Place
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8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.0%1st Place
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14.37University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Berkeley0.868.8%1st Place
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8.54San Diego State University0.534.4%1st Place
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8.86Texas A&M University0.144.2%1st Place
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12.89University of California at Davis-1.001.1%1st Place
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11.3University of California at Berkeley-0.562.2%1st Place
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10.1University of Southern California-0.122.9%1st Place
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15.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.6%1st Place
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14.95Arizona State University-1.600.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett McAvoy | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 17.8% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Fineman | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Annika Burns | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 18.4% |
| Carsten Zieger | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cole Broberg | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jason Yang | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 7.1% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Lara Granucci | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 20.9% | 36.4% |
| Erin Welker | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.