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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.97vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.02+0.99vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook1.41-1.25vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-1.01-0.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-1.54-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.4%1st Place
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2.99Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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1.75SUNY Stony Brook1.410.5%1st Place
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3.93Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 36.6% | 37.4% | 18.8% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Henry Sanders | 10.0% | 18.2% | 40.7% | 24.8% | 6.3% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 48.0% | 33.4% | 14.8% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Muriel Weathers | 3.6% | 6.3% | 16.8% | 40.0% | 33.3% |
| Nina Tucker | 1.8% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 25.1% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.