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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.98vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook1.41-0.24vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.02-0.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-1.54+0.35vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-1.01-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.4%1st Place
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1.76SUNY Stony Brook1.410.5%1st Place
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2.97Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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3.93Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 37.0% | 36.4% | 19.1% | 6.8% | 0.7% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 46.4% | 34.7% | 15.6% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Henry Sanders | 11.6% | 17.5% | 40.3% | 23.1% | 7.5% |
| Nina Tucker | 1.9% | 3.6% | 10.3% | 25.7% | 58.5% |
| Muriel Weathers | 3.1% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 41.3% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.