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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook1.41+0.76vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.05vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.02-0.01vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-1.01-0.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-1.54-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76SUNY Stony Brook1.410.5%1st Place
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1.95Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.4%1st Place
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2.99Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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3.94Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy McCauley | 46.4% | 36.1% | 13.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 36.5% | 37.5% | 20.5% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Henry Sanders | 12.0% | 16.1% | 39.5% | 26.1% | 6.3% |
| Muriel Weathers | 3.1% | 5.6% | 18.1% | 40.2% | 33.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 2.0% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 24.9% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.