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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.97vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.02+0.99vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook1.41-1.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-1.54+0.37vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-1.01-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.4%1st Place
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2.99Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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1.75SUNY Stony Brook1.410.5%1st Place
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4.37U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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3.93Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 36.9% | 37.3% | 18.8% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 10.1% | 18.2% | 40.8% | 24.8% | 6.1% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 47.5% | 34.4% | 14.2% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Nina Tucker | 1.8% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 27.2% | 58.7% |
| Muriel Weathers | 3.7% | 6.4% | 17.6% | 38.2% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.