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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook1.41+0.77vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.04vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.02-0.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-1.54+0.35vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-1.01-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77SUNY Stony Brook1.410.5%1st Place
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1.96Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.4%1st Place
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2.99Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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3.93Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy McCauley | 46.1% | 35.4% | 14.1% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 36.7% | 36.9% | 20.5% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Henry Sanders | 11.7% | 16.1% | 41.0% | 23.7% | 7.5% |
| Nina Tucker | 2.0% | 3.9% | 10.0% | 25.5% | 58.6% |
| Muriel Weathers | 3.5% | 7.7% | 14.4% | 41.2% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.