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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.63+4.80vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13+0.37vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University0.20+4.30vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.88+1.13vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86+6.82vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.25+1.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+0.94vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.91+3.90vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.84+6.83vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.15+7.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.27-1.78vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-0.890.00vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-1.83+2.80vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.90-2.14vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-1.85+1.04vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.24-2.23vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.83-5.32vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38-8.40vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-1.19-5.57vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.53-5.69vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.35-3.20vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.58-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.639.0%1st Place
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2.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1336.9%1st Place
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7.3Santa Clara University0.205.5%1st Place
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5.13California Poly Maritime Academy0.8811.8%1st Place
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11.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.862.6%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Santa Barbara0.256.6%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.244.8%1st Place
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11.9San Diego State University-0.911.8%1st Place
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15.83University of California at Los Angeles-1.840.8%1st Place
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17.15University of California at Davis-2.150.4%1st Place
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9.22University of California at Berkeley-0.272.9%1st Place
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12.0California Poly Maritime Academy-0.891.5%1st Place
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15.8California State University Monterey Bay-1.831.2%1st Place
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11.86University of California at San Diego-0.901.9%1st Place
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16.04California State University Monterey Bay-1.851.1%1st Place
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13.77San Diego State University-1.241.4%1st Place
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11.68University of California at Berkeley-0.831.8%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.384.0%1st Place
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13.43San Diego State University-1.191.2%1st Place
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14.31Arizona State University-1.531.2%1st Place
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17.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.350.7%1st Place
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15.02University of California at Davis-1.580.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Sharp | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 36.9% | 26.2% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eoghan Kelley | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| JT Long | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 19.9% |
| Nikolas Krause | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Lightstone | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Annika Altman | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% |
| Emma Kalway | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Liam Marney | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Allison Dana | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Brily Petersen | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Brooke Hopwood | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 26.6% |
| Luke Melvin | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.