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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29+1.27vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-1.01+0.98vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.56vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.47-1.61vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-4.32-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.3%1st Place
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2.98Syracuse University-1.010.1%1st Place
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2.44SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.3%1st Place
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2.39Webb Institute-0.470.3%1st Place
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4.92U. S. Military Academy-4.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Stevenson | 32.1% | 25.9% | 25.1% | 16.3% | 0.6% |
| John Colby | 14.0% | 18.7% | 25.5% | 39.3% | 2.5% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 25.4% | 27.8% | 24.6% | 21.6% | 0.6% |
| Declan Gaylo | 28.0% | 27.2% | 23.8% | 20.1% | 0.9% |
| Evan Terkanian | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 95.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.