← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29+1.32vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute-0.47+0.50vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.73vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-1.01-1.01vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Military Academy-4.32-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.32Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.3%1st Place
-
2.5Webb Institute-0.470.2%1st Place
-
2.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.3%1st Place
-
2.99Syracuse University-1.010.1%1st Place
-
4.93U. S. Military Academy-4.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Stevenson | 29.5% | 28.2% | 24.0% | 17.7% | 0.6% |
| Declan Gaylo | 24.8% | 25.2% | 26.3% | 22.9% | 0.8% |
| Peter Sander | 32.2% | 26.5% | 23.7% | 17.4% | 0.2% |
| John Colby | 13.2% | 19.6% | 25.0% | 39.6% | 2.6% |
| Evan Terkanian | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 95.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.