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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+1.32vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29+0.31vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.010.00vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.47-1.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-4.32-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.3%1st Place
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2.31Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.3%1st Place
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3.0Syracuse University-1.010.1%1st Place
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2.44Webb Institute-0.470.3%1st Place
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4.93U. S. Military Academy-4.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Sander | 30.2% | 25.7% | 26.6% | 16.7% | 0.8% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 29.3% | 28.6% | 24.7% | 16.8% | 0.6% |
| John Colby | 14.5% | 17.8% | 22.9% | 42.9% | 1.9% |
| Declan Gaylo | 25.5% | 27.6% | 25.2% | 20.7% | 1.0% |
| Evan Terkanian | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 2.9% | 95.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.