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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.42+4.95vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.59+2.23vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.75-0.69vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.43-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.26-1.23vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.46-2.48vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.60-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.23University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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2.31Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.48Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.55University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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4.77University of British Columbia0.260.1%1st Place
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4.52Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Dieleman | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 31.1% |
| Dylan Shaver | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Chloe Dawson | 38.0% | 25.4% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 17.2% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 6.7% |
| Virginie Sonnet | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 10.4% |
| Max Van Dam | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 8.0% |
| Lukas Koch | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 22.2% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.