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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.59+3.17vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.43+2.54vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.75-0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.42+1.97vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.26-0.11vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-2.58vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.60-0.72vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.46-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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4.54University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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2.34Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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5.97University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.89University of British Columbia0.260.1%1st Place
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3.42Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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6.28University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.39Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Shaver | 10.5% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 6.4% |
| Chloe Dawson | 37.1% | 25.6% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Steven Dieleman | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 22.9% | 29.6% |
| Virginie Sonnet | 6.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 10.7% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 18.9% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Lukas Koch | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 20.8% | 39.0% |
| Max Van Dam | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.