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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.60+5.25vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.43+2.58vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.03+0.46vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.75-1.66vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.42+1.05vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.27-1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.59-2.74vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.52-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.58University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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3.46Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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2.34Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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6.05University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.8University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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4.26Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Koch | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 20.6% | 38.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 7.5% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 17.0% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Chloe Dawson | 36.4% | 26.6% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Steven Dieleman | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 20.9% | 32.3% |
| Richard Minielly | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 10.0% |
| Dylan Shaver | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 5.5% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 11.2% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.