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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.42+4.99vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+0.39vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.59+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.60+2.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.43-0.46vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-2.55vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.27-2.12vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.52-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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2.39Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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4.22University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.54University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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3.45Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.88University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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4.26Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Dieleman | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 21.4% | 31.2% |
| Chloe Dawson | 35.8% | 27.3% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Shaver | 11.8% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
| Lukas Koch | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 21.4% | 38.1% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 8.7% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 6.9% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 18.1% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Richard Minielly | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 11.5% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 10.8% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.