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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.75+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.59+1.79vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.43+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.60+1.62vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.42+0.35vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.46-1.95vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.03-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.79University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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4.04University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.05Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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2.99Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 42.8% | 23.6% | 18.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Shaver | 11.1% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 12.3% | 5.6% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 9.0% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% |
| Lukas Koch | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 24.4% | 41.5% |
| Steven Dieleman | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 25.2% | 32.9% |
| Max Van Dam | 9.8% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 8.6% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 21.4% | 22.8% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.