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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.75+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.59+1.77vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.42+2.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.43+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.60+0.61vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-2.84vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.46-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.77University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.09University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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3.16Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.84Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 41.0% | 25.3% | 16.9% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Shaver | 10.7% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 6.1% |
| Steven Dieleman | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 26.3% | 33.2% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 16.3% | 8.6% |
| Lukas Koch | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 22.7% | 42.5% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 18.2% | 20.4% | 22.9% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 1.7% |
| Max Van Dam | 12.2% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 12.1% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.