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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.03+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.43+2.04vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.42+2.36vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.75-1.78vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.52-0.99vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.60-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.59-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.04University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
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2.22Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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4.01Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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3.71University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Kilroy | 21.4% | 21.4% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 9.5% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 7.7% |
| Steven Dieleman | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 25.6% | 34.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 38.5% | 26.5% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 9.5% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 7.9% |
| Lukas Koch | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 21.9% | 42.5% |
| Dylan Shaver | 12.4% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 11.9% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.