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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.75+1.20vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.03+1.13vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.59+0.83vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.52-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.43-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.60-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.42-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.13Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.83University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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3.91Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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4.1University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 42.0% | 23.8% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 17.7% | 24.3% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Dylan Shaver | 10.9% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 6.7% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 19.6% | 14.8% | 6.9% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 8.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 9.3% |
| Lukas Koch | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 23.2% | 41.9% |
| Steven Dieleman | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 15.2% | 24.6% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.