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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.05+3.01vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia-0.21+2.38vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.24+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.73+1.33vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.41-0.23vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.52-2.98vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-1.69-0.23vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.17-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01University of Victoria-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.38University of British Columbia-0.210.1%1st Place
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3.53Western Washington University0.240.2%1st Place
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5.33University of California at San Diego-0.730.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.02Western Washington University0.520.3%1st Place
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6.77University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.18Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Daniel | 12.5% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 4.6% |
| Gregory Woollgar | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 5.2% |
| Carter Erickson | 19.9% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Fisher Price | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 16.3% |
| Colin Bishop | 7.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 8.9% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 25.6% | 21.3% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Gillian Craig | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 56.5% |
| Lena Captain | 13.0% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.