← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.52+2.00vs Predicted
-
2University of Victoria-0.05+2.05vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.17+1.29vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.24-0.45vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria-0.41-0.25vs Predicted
-
6University of British Columbia-0.21-1.66vs Predicted
-
7University of Victoria-1.69-0.21vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-0.73-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.0Western Washington University0.520.3%1st Place
-
4.05University of Victoria-0.050.1%1st Place
-
4.29Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
-
3.55Western Washington University0.240.2%1st Place
-
4.75University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
-
4.34University of British Columbia-0.210.1%1st Place
-
6.79University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.23University of California at San Diego-0.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Van Slyck | 25.6% | 21.9% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 13.5% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 3.6% |
| Lena Captain | 12.3% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 5.4% |
| Carter Erickson | 18.1% | 20.0% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Colin Bishop | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 8.7% |
| Gregory Woollgar | 12.6% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 6.4% |
| Gillian Craig | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 14.7% | 58.1% |
| Fisher Price | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.