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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.31+2.97vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+4.23vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.68+3.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.86+1.50vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+2.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.36-2.09vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.40+3.07vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.53-0.50vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-2.41vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74+1.20vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California-0.12-1.84vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.26vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+1.66vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University0.14-6.32vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.00-2.94vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.56-5.79vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.60-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35University of Southern California1.7117.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Hawaii1.3113.9%1st Place
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7.23California Poly Maritime Academy0.538.0%1st Place
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7.25Northwestern University0.686.2%1st Place
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6.5University of California at Berkeley0.868.8%1st Place
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8.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.7%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Santa Barbara1.3613.8%1st Place
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11.07Arizona State University-0.402.4%1st Place
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8.5San Diego State University0.534.6%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.9%1st Place
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12.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.741.6%1st Place
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10.16University of Southern California-0.122.4%1st Place
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14.26University of California at San Diego-1.131.1%1st Place
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15.66University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.4%1st Place
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8.68Texas A&M University0.144.5%1st Place
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13.06University of California at Davis-1.001.4%1st Place
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11.21University of California at Berkeley-0.562.7%1st Place
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14.82Arizona State University-1.600.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 17.1% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Fineman | 13.8% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| George Soliman | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Annika Burns | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Lara Granucci | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 17.9% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 20.0% | 39.1% |
| Cole Broberg | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jason Yang | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 7.7% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Erin Welker | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.