Race 4B

north-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Deady 8.7% 8.0% 11.0% 10.2% 10.2% 10.0% 9.0% 10.7% 10.6% 6.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 16.4% 14.2% 13.5% 14.1% 11.3% 8.3% 9.5% 5.5% 4.0% 1.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Goldsmith 6.5% 9.3% 9.0% 10.0% 10.2% 10.3% 10.1% 12.7% 7.4% 8.1% 4.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Vincent Andrews 18.9% 17.0% 14.8% 11.7% 12.0% 9.2% 7.1% 4.7% 2.6% 1.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 13.4% 12.0% 11.7% 12.1% 11.5% 10.1% 8.8% 8.0% 5.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Schoene 9.6% 12.2% 10.3% 9.8% 10.6% 11.3% 10.0% 7.4% 7.7% 6.6% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
John Croll 9.4% 8.1% 8.3% 8.2% 8.1% 10.9% 11.5% 10.7% 9.0% 8.5% 4.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Ian Hunt 2.9% 3.6% 3.2% 3.8% 3.7% 5.2% 6.6% 8.8% 11.0% 16.5% 17.6% 13.3% 3.8% 0.0%
Charles Legge 6.1% 6.5% 6.2% 8.2% 8.4% 9.8% 10.4% 10.1% 11.6% 10.6% 8.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 2.7% 2.4% 3.6% 3.5% 4.9% 9.1% 12.5% 18.9% 24.4% 11.7% 0.0%
Chris Myers 5.7% 5.4% 7.3% 7.1% 8.7% 7.6% 10.4% 11.3% 12.0% 11.3% 8.3% 4.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 2.7% 2.4% 3.6% 3.5% 4.9% 9.1% 12.5% 18.9% 24.4% 11.7% 0.0%
Welf Ludwig 0.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.8% 0.9% 1.8% 0.7% 1.5% 3.8% 3.4% 9.4% 19.2% 57.2% 0.0%
Jack Murray 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 2.0% 1.9% 2.4% 3.7% 5.4% 8.3% 17.3% 29.5% 25.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.