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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.05+2.53vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.52+0.70vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.41+1.21vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.17-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-1.69+1.00vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.24-2.83vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.73-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of Victoria-0.050.2%1st Place
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2.7Western Washington University0.520.3%1st Place
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4.21University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.84Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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3.17Western Washington University0.240.2%1st Place
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4.55University of California at San Diego-0.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Daniel | 17.4% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 27.0% | 25.4% | 20.4% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Colin Bishop | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 10.4% |
| Lena Captain | 13.9% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 6.2% |
| Gillian Craig | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 59.7% |
| Carter Erickson | 20.4% | 21.2% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Fisher Price | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 24.0% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.