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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.41+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-1.69+3.92vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.05+0.59vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.52-1.25vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.17-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.73-1.25vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.24-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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3.59University of Victoria-0.050.2%1st Place
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2.75Western Washington University0.520.3%1st Place
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3.85Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.75University of California at San Diego-0.730.1%1st Place
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3.04Western Washington University0.240.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Bishop | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 21.0% | 17.8% | 9.6% |
| Gillian Craig | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 56.2% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 16.8% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 26.9% | 22.7% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Lena Captain | 11.7% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 6.5% |
| Fisher Price | 6.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 24.8% | 19.3% |
| Carter Erickson | 23.5% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.