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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.41+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.05+1.57vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-1.69+2.94vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.24-0.79vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.52-2.24vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.17-2.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.73-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.57University of Victoria-0.050.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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3.21Western Washington University0.240.2%1st Place
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2.76Western Washington University0.520.3%1st Place
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3.81Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.6University of California at San Diego-0.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Bishop | 11.5% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 9.1% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 14.6% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 5.1% |
| Gillian Craig | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 58.8% |
| Carter Erickson | 19.7% | 18.3% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 27.2% | 23.4% | 19.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Lena Captain | 14.6% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 6.5% |
| Fisher Price | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 23.4% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.